(Introduction to Futures Research & Future Strategy)
This book is written in an accessible and enjoyable manner so that anyone interested in future studies can gain the tools to forecast futures and develop future strategy by himself.
In Principle of Future Studies, chapter 1 explores the concept, history, and
characteristics of futurologyand of futures studies in South Koreato raise
readers’ understanding for futurology. Chapter 2 covers some of the
successes and failures of future prediction and strategies, including cases
from China, and the future predictions of former UK Prime Minister Winston
Churchill, which will help readers understand the necessity and importance
of futurology. Chapter 3 introduces the characteristics of the five major
schools in futurology and the respective scholars in each school. Chapter 4 2020-08-26
discusses the future prediction research framework, types, and
classifications of future prediction methodologies, which will help in the
understanding of the research process involved in future prediction.
Chapter 5 explains in detail the twelve methodologies of future prediction for the practical application of future prediction methodologies. Chapter 6 contains future studies performed using future prediction methodologies and the processes in which future strategies are developed.
Chapter 7 introduces future strategic organizations in major developed countries including the United States, France, the United Kingdom, and Singapore. It describes specific cases from Finland where future strategies are driven by the legislative branch, and from Germany where national future strategic organizations have been built based on a socially interactive model.
Chapter 8 discusses what to study and where, in terms of futurology. It talks about the curriculum of futurology and skillsets that
can be cultivated through the discipline as well as introduces international universities that offer regular degree courses and
training courses for futurists.
Chapter 9 discusses the importance of ethics and the status in future studies. In this chapter, eight sci-fi films provide an interesting take on ethical activities with regard to future studies in the US, the EU, and Korea, and the importance of ethics. Chapter 10 touches upon the ten megatrends of futurology and future studies. Chapter 11 explains the concepts behind the key terms used in futurology and future studies. And chapter 12 includes conversations with renowned futurology scholars such as futuristJim Dator, futurist Jerome Glenn, futurist Rey Kurzweil, futurist Thomas Frey, futurist Jose Cordeiro, futurist Professor ShirkkaHainonen, futurist Brock hinnsman.
Professor Jong-BaeAhn is a pioneer in futurology and digital marketing in South Korea.
As Chairman of the Global FuturesStudies Association, Professor Ahn has been working with the National Assembly’s Future Policy Research Group to propose the Framework Act on National Future, which will be the cornerstone in future studies and futurology in South Korea.
Ahn studied at Seoul National University, and Yonsei University, Kyonggi University and Michigan State Unversity. Professor Ahn received the first digital marketing PhD in Korea.
Professor Ahn received Prime Minister Awardfor his academicachievements and social contribution. Ahn is now Professor at Hansei University in korea. ProfessorAhn has written a number of future books, such as The Korea Future Report, The Global Future 2030and Future Education Report.
I. Concept of Futurology
II. The characteristics of Futurology
III. Features and areas of Futurology's futures studies
IV. History of Futurology
V. Futurology of Korea
I. Necessity of future forecast
II. Possibility of future forecast
I. Extrapolative future school
II. Metamorphic future school
III. Radical future school
IV. Future School of Manoa
V. Singularity Future School
I. Future Forecast Framework
II. Types and Classification of Future Forecast Methodology
I. Understanding the Future Forecast Methodology of Society 1. Future Wheel techniques 2. Scenario techniques
II. Understand the Future Forecast Methodology of Technology 1. Weighing information analysis technique 2. STEEP ANALYSIS
III. Understand the Future Forecast Methodology of Industry 1. Delphi techniques 2. Cross-impact method
IV. Understand the Future Forecast Methodology of Environment 1. Emerging Issues Analysis Method 2. Visioning Workshop
V. Understanding the Future Forecast Methodology of Policy 1. Shape analysis Method 2. Game Theory Method
VI. Introduction of Useful Future Forecasting Methodology 1. Alternative Future forecasting Methodology of the Manoa School 2. Kairos Future's TAIDA Future forecasting Methodology
I. Building a Future Strategy with the Visioning Workshop
II. STEEP analysis by subject
III. SWOT strategy setup
IV. Creating a Canvas of Future Strategy
I. Administration-led National Future Strategic Organization 1. National Future Strategic Organization of the United States: National Information Commission (NIC) 2. France's National Future Strategic Organization : Future Strategy Executive Committee 3. The UK's National Future Strategic Agency : Government office for science 4. Singapore National Future Strategy Organization : Prime Minister's Strategy Group and National Security Coordination Headquarters
II. Legislative-led National Future Strategic Organization : Finnish National Assembly Future Committee
III. Social Interactive National Future Strategic Organization : Federal Ministry of Education and Research
I. Education Subjects of Futurology 1. Purpose of Futurology Education 2. Capacity to cultivated by Futurology education 3. knowledge and curriculum of Futurology education 4. University and Subjects majored in Futurology education
II. Worldwide universities of Futurology education
III. Institutions for Futures Studies Specialist
I. Future Ethics Activities Abroad 1. US Artificial Intelligence Ethics 2. European Union Artificial Intelligence Ethics
II. Future Ethics Activities in Korea 1. Robotics Ethics Charter 1. Robotics Ethics Charter
III. The importance of ethics in future sociey 1. SF movie story dealing with future society ethics 2. Need for Ethical Response of Future Science and Technology
IV. Korea Science and Technology Ethics Charter
I. Ageing: Low birth rate, Acceleration of aging
II. Bio Revolution: the starting point of the fifth industrial revolution
III. Climate Change: Climate Change, Global Challenges
IV. Digital World: Accelerating the Digital World
V. Education Revolution: Educational Revolution
VI. Feeling Era: The Age of Feeling
VII. Global 4.0: The Age of Globalization 4.0
VIII. Health Life Care: Managing Healthy Living
IX. Internet Everywhere: All things Intelligent Internet
X. Job Revolution: Job Revolution
I. Conversation with futurist Jim Dator
II. Dialogue with futurist Jerome Glenn
III. Conversation with futurist Rey Kurzweil
IV. Dialogue with futurist Thomas Frey
V. Conversation with futurist Jose Cordeiro
VI. Dialogue with futuristr Professor ShirkkaHainonen
VII. Dialogue with futurist Brock hinnsman
VIII. Conversation with futurist Lee, Nam-Sik
VIX. Conversation with futurist Lee, Kwang Hyung
X. Conversation with futurist Park, Jin