미래학자·미래학 학술원 [국제미래학회] Global Futures Studies Association

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FUTURES STUDIES

Principle of Futures Studies

(Introduction to Futures Research & Future Strategy)

미래학원론

  • Publisher : Park Young Sa pys@pybook.co.kr
  • ISBN : 979-11-303-0860-9 93300
  • Publication year : 2020

This book is written in an accessible and enjoyable manner so that anyone interested in future studies can gain the tools to forecast futures and develop future strategy by himself.

In Principle of Future Studies, chapter 1 explores the concept, history, and characteristics of futurologyand of futures studies in South Koreato raise readers’ understanding for futurology. Chapter 2 covers some of the successes and failures of future prediction and strategies, including cases from China, and the future predictions of former UK Prime Minister Winston Churchill, which will help readers understand the necessity and importance of futurology. Chapter 3 introduces the characteristics of the five major schools in futurology and the respective scholars in each school. Chapter 4 2020-08-26 discusses the future prediction research framework, types, and classifications of future prediction methodologies, which will help in the understanding of the research process involved in future prediction.
Chapter 5 explains in detail the twelve methodologies of future prediction for the practical application of future prediction methodologies. Chapter 6 contains future studies performed using future prediction methodologies and the processes in which future strategies are developed.

Chapter 7 introduces future strategic organizations in major developed countries including the United States, France, the United Kingdom, and Singapore. It describes specific cases from Finland where future strategies are driven by the legislative branch, and from Germany where national future strategic organizations have been built based on a socially interactive model.

Chapter 8 discusses what to study and where, in terms of futurology. It talks about the curriculum of futurology and skillsets that can be cultivated through the discipline as well as introduces international universities that offer regular degree courses and training courses for futurists.
Chapter 9 discusses the importance of ethics and the status in future studies. In this chapter, eight sci-fi films provide an interesting take on ethical activities with regard to future studies in the US, the EU, and Korea, and the importance of ethics. Chapter 10 touches upon the ten megatrends of futurology and future studies. Chapter 11 explains the concepts behind the key terms used in futurology and future studies. And chapter 12 includes conversations with renowned futurology scholars such as futuristJim Dator, futurist Jerome Glenn, futurist Rey Kurzweil, futurist Thomas Frey, futurist Jose Cordeiro, futurist Professor ShirkkaHainonen, futurist Brock hinnsman.

Author : Professor Jong-Bae(daniel) Ahn

안종배교수

  • www.gfuturestudy.org
  • Daniel@cleancontents.org

Professor Jong-BaeAhn is a pioneer in futurology and digital marketing in South Korea.

As Chairman of the Global FuturesStudies Association, Professor Ahn has been working with the National Assembly’s Future Policy Research Group to propose the Framework Act on National Future, which will be the cornerstone in future studies and futurology in South Korea.

Ahn studied at Seoul National University, and Yonsei University, Kyonggi University and Michigan State Unversity. Professor Ahn received the first digital marketing PhD in Korea.

Professor Ahn received Prime Minister Awardfor his academicachievements and social contribution. Ahn is now Professor at Hansei University in korea. ProfessorAhn has written a number of future books, such as The Korea Future Report, The Global Future 2030and Future Education Report.

Contents Tables for Principle of Futures Studies

  • Part 1. What is Futurology?

    I. Concept of Futurology

    II. The characteristics of Futurology

    III. Features and areas of Futurology's futures studies

    IV. History of Futurology

    V. Futurology of Korea

  • Part 2. Why is Futurology important?

    I. Necessity of future forecast

    II. Possibility of future forecast

  • Part 3. What are schools of futures studies?

    I. Extrapolative future school

    II. Metamorphic future school

    III. Radical future school

    IV. Future School of Manoa

    V. Singularity Future School

  • Part 4. How do you do future forecast ?

    I. Future Forecast Framework

    II. Types and Classification of Future Forecast Methodology

  • Part 5. Understanding key future forecasting methodologies

    I. Understanding the Future Forecast Methodology of Society 1. Future Wheel techniques 2. Scenario techniques

    II. Understand the Future Forecast Methodology of Technology 1. Weighing information analysis technique 2. STEEP ANALYSIS

    III. Understand the Future Forecast Methodology of Industry 1. Delphi techniques 2. Cross-impact method

    IV. Understand the Future Forecast Methodology of Environment 1. Emerging Issues Analysis Method 2. Visioning Workshop

    V. Understanding the Future Forecast Methodology of Policy 1. Shape analysis Method 2. Game Theory Method

    VI. Introduction of Useful Future Forecasting Methodology 1. Alternative Future forecasting Methodology of the Manoa School 2. Kairos Future's TAIDA Future forecasting Methodology

  • Part 6. Practice of Future Strategy setup

    I. Building a Future Strategy with the Visioning Workshop

    II. STEEP analysis by subject

    III. SWOT strategy setup

    IV. Creating a Canvas of Future Strategy

  • Part 7. How do the future strategic institutions of major countries operate?

    I. Administration-led National Future Strategic Organization 1. National Future Strategic Organization of the United States: National Information Commission (NIC) 2. France's National Future Strategic Organization : Future Strategy Executive Committee 3. The UK's National Future Strategic Agency : Government office for science 4. Singapore National Future Strategy Organization : Prime Minister's Strategy Group and National Security Coordination Headquarters

    II. Legislative-led National Future Strategic Organization : Finnish National Assembly Future Committee

    III. Social Interactive National Future Strategic Organization : Federal Ministry of Education and Research

  • Part 8. What & where do you study for futurology ?

    I. Education Subjects of Futurology 1. Purpose of Futurology Education 2. Capacity to cultivated by Futurology education 3. knowledge and curriculum of Futurology education 4. University and Subjects majored in Futurology education

    II. Worldwide universities of Futurology education

    III. Institutions for Futures Studies Specialist

  • Part 9. The importance of ethics in Futurology

    I. Future Ethics Activities Abroad 1. US Artificial Intelligence Ethics 2. European Union Artificial Intelligence Ethics

    II. Future Ethics Activities in Korea 1. Robotics Ethics Charter 1. Robotics Ethics Charter

    III. The importance of ethics in future sociey 1. SF movie story dealing with future society ethics 2. Need for Ethical Response of Future Science and Technology

    IV. Korea Science and Technology Ethics Charter

  • Part 10. Issues of Futurology & Futures Studies

    I. Ageing: Low birth rate, Acceleration of aging

    II. Bio Revolution: the starting point of the fifth industrial revolution

    III. Climate Change: Climate Change, Global Challenges

    IV. Digital World: Accelerating the Digital World

    V. Education Revolution: Educational Revolution

    VI. Feeling Era: The Age of Feeling

    VII. Global 4.0: The Age of Globalization 4.0

    VIII. Health Life Care: Managing Healthy Living

    IX. Internet Everywhere: All things Intelligent Internet

    X. Job Revolution: Job Revolution

  • Part 11. Talk with Future Scholars

    I. Conversation with futurist Jim Dator

    II. Dialogue with futurist Jerome Glenn

    III. Conversation with futurist Rey Kurzweil

    IV. Dialogue with futurist Thomas Frey

    V. Conversation with futurist Jose Cordeiro

    VI. Dialogue with futuristr Professor ShirkkaHainonen

    VII. Dialogue with futurist Brock hinnsman

    VIII. Conversation with futurist Lee, Nam-Sik

    VIX. Conversation with futurist Lee, Kwang Hyung

    X. Conversation with futurist Park, Jin

  • Part 12. Understanding terminology of Futurology and futures studies